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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.99+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.53+0.71vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.48+1.03vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.71+0.25vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.07-1.83vs Predicted
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6Saint Mary's College-3.44+1.87vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.12-0.71vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.75-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-3.05-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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2.71University of Michigan0.530.2%1st Place
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4.03Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.25Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.17Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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7.87Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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6.29Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.1Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 40.7% | 27.3% | 18.2% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 23.3% | 25.7% | 23.1% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.7% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 23.0% | 22.8% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Hershey | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 25.5% | 16.2% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 16.9% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 26.9% | 44.3% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 28.1% | 27.7% | 15.2% | 6.1% |
| William O'Haver | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 14.4% | 26.4% | 26.2% | 19.7% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 29.7% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.