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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+0.20vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.48+1.04vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.07-0.83vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.71-0.77vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.12+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.05+0.50vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.75-0.93vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-3.44-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of Michigan0.530.3%1st Place
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2.2University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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4.04Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.17Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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4.23Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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6.26Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
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7.07Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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7.88Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 27.5% | 22.9% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 36.6% | 28.6% | 19.4% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 25.5% | 14.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 16.0% | 20.2% | 21.5% | 22.6% | 13.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 7.1% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 16.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 27.0% | 26.8% | 16.3% | 5.5% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 30.8% | 28.4% |
| William O'Haver | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 14.7% | 26.7% | 26.0% | 18.9% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 24.8% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.