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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.07+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.53+0.84vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.99-1.91vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.52+0.70vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.48-1.83vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.12-0.34vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.75-0.58vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-3.44-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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2.84University of Michigan0.530.2%1st Place
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4.56Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.09University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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5.7University of Notre Dame-1.520.0%1st Place
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4.17Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.66Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.42Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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8.17Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 15.8% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 20.9% | 25.3% | 22.4% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Hesse | 41.3% | 27.7% | 17.9% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 20.2% | 13.7% | 3.6% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 23.7% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 30.0% | 25.3% | 9.5% |
| William O'Haver | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 35.0% | 27.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 21.0% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.