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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+0.27vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71+1.58vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.07-0.72vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.48-0.89vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.12+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.52-1.19vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-3.44+0.17vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.75-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72University of Michigan0.530.3%1st Place
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2.27University of Notre Dame0.990.3%1st Place
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4.58Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.28Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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4.11Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.63Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Notre Dame-1.520.0%1st Place
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8.17Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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7.43Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 26.7% | 22.8% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 35.0% | 28.5% | 20.1% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 19.9% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 15.7% | 19.2% | 21.2% | 21.6% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 27.9% | 25.5% | 10.0% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 25.5% | 23.5% | 12.8% | 3.1% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 20.6% | 60.2% |
| William O'Haver | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 19.2% | 35.1% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.