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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.99+1.10vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.71+2.49vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.48+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.53-1.44vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.75+2.01vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.07-2.82vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.05+0.49vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.12-1.75vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-3.44-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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4.49Ohio State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.04Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.56University of Michigan0.530.3%1st Place
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7.01Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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3.18Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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7.49University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
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6.25Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.88Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 41.0% | 28.5% | 16.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 4.8% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 27.0% | 16.8% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.5% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 22.4% | 22.8% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 26.2% | 25.9% | 24.6% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William O'Haver | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 16.2% | 25.7% | 24.0% | 18.8% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 15.3% | 21.0% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 33.2% | 26.8% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 26.5% | 26.3% | 17.0% | 6.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.