Race 5B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Brady 11.9% 12.3% 10.9% 12.2% 9.9% 8.7% 9.1% 10.3% 5.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Christopher Price 8.7% 10.8% 9.9% 9.5% 10.7% 10.5% 8.8% 9.7% 7.8% 6.8% 4.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Michael Booker 12.3% 12.8% 13.8% 9.9% 10.3% 10.3% 10.8% 6.9% 6.5% 3.9% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Johanna Kincaid 10.1% 9.9% 9.8% 12.0% 9.5% 9.5% 9.0% 8.9% 8.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.6%
James Rohman 10.0% 7.6% 9.8% 9.9% 8.5% 9.7% 8.7% 10.7% 9.2% 6.3% 6.4% 2.6% 0.6%
Angus Page 4.2% 3.6% 4.5% 4.7% 4.8% 7.6% 7.1% 6.7% 12.5% 11.9% 14.9% 13.1% 4.4%
Abby Preston 7.9% 8.0% 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 9.2% 7.7% 11.2% 10.2% 10.0% 7.8% 4.0% 0.8%
Dan Nickerson 15.5% 14.6% 12.6% 11.8% 11.6% 11.1% 8.6% 6.0% 3.7% 2.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
William Gibbons 9.2% 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 10.6% 9.5% 9.6% 8.8% 7.2% 8.5% 4.8% 2.3% 0.4%
Isabel Elliman 2.1% 2.4% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.8% 4.5% 4.7% 7.0% 10.3% 16.0% 23.3% 19.2%
Luke Miller 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 3.7% 4.9% 4.0% 7.7% 10.6% 16.3% 23.7% 19.2%
Cole Rice 6.0% 5.2% 6.6% 7.1% 9.4% 5.7% 9.4% 9.8% 11.5% 12.1% 9.6% 5.7% 1.9%
Charles Cahill 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 5.5% 10.3% 19.1% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.