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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-0.70+3.08vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.08+0.88vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.52+0.74vs Predicted
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4American University-1.01+0.66vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.16+0.03vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.80+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.35-1.55vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.85-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.09-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Penn State University-0.7013.5%1st Place
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2.88Princeton University-0.0827.3%1st Place
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3.74Virginia Tech-0.5216.7%1st Place
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4.66American University-1.0111.6%1st Place
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5.03Drexel University-1.169.4%1st Place
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6.32Rutgers University-1.805.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Delaware-1.357.8%1st Place
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5.85Catholic University of America-1.855.8%1st Place
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6.99University of Delaware-2.093.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Simpkins | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Advik Eswaran | 27.3% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Matt Averyt | 16.7% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Curtis | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Hartshorne | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
| Evan Kohut | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 23.0% |
| Addie Perez | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 11.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 14.9% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.