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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.99+1.11vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.48+2.14vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71+1.37vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.12+2.22vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.07-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.53-3.40vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.05+0.49vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.75-0.96vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-3.44-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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4.14Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.37Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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6.22Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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3.16Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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2.6University of Michigan0.530.2%1st Place
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7.49University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
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7.04Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
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7.88Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 41.1% | 27.7% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.1% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 24.5% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 6.3% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 24.7% | 18.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 26.7% | 26.0% | 16.2% | 5.6% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 18.1% | 19.9% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 24.6% | 28.4% | 22.0% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 32.2% | 28.0% |
| William O'Haver | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 16.1% | 27.6% | 24.4% | 18.8% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 23.5% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.