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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.99+1.18vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-2.12+4.73vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.07+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.53-1.34vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.48-0.91vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.71-1.51vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-3.44+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.52-2.19vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.75-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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6.73Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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3.43Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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2.66University of Michigan0.530.2%1st Place
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4.09Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.49Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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8.18Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Notre Dame-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.42Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 38.4% | 29.0% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 28.2% | 27.2% | 9.8% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 14.3% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 24.8% | 26.4% | 22.7% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma Hershey | 7.0% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 9.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 22.9% | 58.5% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 25.6% | 22.9% | 12.1% | 4.7% |
| William O'Haver | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 20.7% | 33.4% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.