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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+0.25vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71+1.60vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.07-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.52+0.71vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.48-1.83vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.12-0.36vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-3.44+0.15vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.75-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72University of Michigan0.530.3%1st Place
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2.25University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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4.6Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.31Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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5.71University of Notre Dame-1.520.0%1st Place
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4.17Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.64Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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8.15Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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7.44Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 26.2% | 24.5% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 35.2% | 28.6% | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 16.2% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 22.6% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 3.8% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 21.9% | 16.3% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 16.3% | 31.4% | 23.5% | 9.8% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 20.1% | 60.0% |
| William O'Haver | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 18.8% | 36.4% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.