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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.53+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+0.18vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71+1.36vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.07-0.85vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.12+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-3.05+1.44vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.48-2.96vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-3.44-0.09vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.75-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Michigan0.530.3%1st Place
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2.18University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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4.36Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.15Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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6.2Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
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4.04Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.91Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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7.11Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 27.1% | 25.3% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 35.7% | 29.6% | 21.0% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 27.8% | 18.7% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 16.7% | 19.1% | 23.5% | 21.7% | 13.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 27.2% | 23.0% | 16.1% | 6.7% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 10.6% | 22.6% | 30.6% | 26.8% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.7% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 23.4% | 13.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 24.6% | 47.3% |
| William O'Haver | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 15.2% | 26.8% | 26.7% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.