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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.99+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.53+0.72vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71+1.38vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.07-0.86vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.12+1.20vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.48-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.05+0.49vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-3.44-0.12vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.75-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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2.72University of Michigan0.530.2%1st Place
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4.38Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.14Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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6.2Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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3.98Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
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7.88Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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7.08Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 39.9% | 27.7% | 19.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 22.2% | 27.5% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 23.0% | 20.2% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 17.9% | 18.8% | 21.7% | 22.1% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 24.3% | 25.7% | 16.5% | 5.9% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.6% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 24.7% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 11.1% | 21.4% | 30.7% | 28.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 15.5% | 22.7% | 47.4% |
| William O'Haver | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 14.9% | 26.2% | 27.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.