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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.99+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.53+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.52+2.86vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.07-0.69vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.48-0.93vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.71-1.50vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.12-0.34vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-3.44+0.14vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.75-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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2.82University of Michigan0.530.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Notre Dame-1.520.0%1st Place
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3.31Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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4.07Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.5Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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6.66Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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8.14Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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7.44Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 38.9% | 27.0% | 17.6% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 21.2% | 26.6% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 23.9% | 24.7% | 13.7% | 3.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 17.0% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.1% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Hershey | 7.6% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 23.9% | 20.8% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 29.0% | 24.9% | 10.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 19.9% | 60.0% |
| William O'Haver | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 18.8% | 35.9% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.