← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame0.99+1.17vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University0.07+1.51vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.53-0.28vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-0.48+0.11vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-2.12+1.53vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame-1.52-0.20vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University-0.71-2.43vs Predicted
-
8Saint Mary's College-3.44+0.15vs Predicted
-
9Western Michigan University-2.75-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
-
3.51Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
-
2.72University of Michigan0.530.3%1st Place
-
4.11Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
-
6.53Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
-
5.8University of Notre Dame-1.520.0%1st Place
-
4.57Ohio State University-0.710.1%1st Place
-
8.15Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
-
7.43Western Michigan University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 38.3% | 29.5% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 12.4% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 22.4% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Homa | 26.1% | 24.7% | 21.0% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 24.9% | 23.9% | 10.6% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 27.5% | 13.1% | 2.6% |
| Emma Hershey | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 21.0% | 59.8% |
| William O'Haver | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 37.0% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.