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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.99+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.53+0.43vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.07-0.01vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.48-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.52-0.09vs Predicted
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6Saint Mary's College-3.44+0.59vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.12-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Notre Dame0.990.4%1st Place
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2.43University of Michigan0.530.3%1st Place
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2.99Michigan Technological University0.070.2%1st Place
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3.67Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Notre Dame-1.520.0%1st Place
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6.59Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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5.42Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 42.9% | 29.3% | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Homa | 26.8% | 29.1% | 25.0% | 13.6% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 15.8% | 20.7% | 28.3% | 21.8% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.2% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 29.9% | 21.6% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 15.1% | 34.6% | 28.3% | 8.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 15.5% | 75.4% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 21.0% | 45.2% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.