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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.34+1.43vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-3.86+4.11vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.91+0.05vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.00-0.82vs Predicted
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6Saint Mary's College-4.09+1.34vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.50-3.48vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-3.30-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-4.12-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of Michigan0.110.6%1st Place
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3.43University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
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7.11Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
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4.05Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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4.18Michigan Technological University-2.000.1%1st Place
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7.34Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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3.52Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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6.28Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 58.1% | 25.8% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 10.3% | 21.4% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Prugh | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 12.2% | 21.7% | 24.7% | 25.4% |
| Michael Mignogna | 7.5% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 22.7% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 8.1% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 27.2% | 29.8% |
| Gavin Holmes | 11.3% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stella Brown | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 22.8% | 23.1% | 17.8% | 9.7% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 24.6% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.