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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+0.63vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.34+1.43vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.50+0.55vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-4.09+3.31vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.00-0.85vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.91-1.88vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-3.30-0.70vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-3.86-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-4.12-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63University of Michigan0.110.6%1st Place
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3.43University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.55Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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7.31Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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4.15Michigan Technological University-2.000.1%1st Place
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4.12Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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6.3Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.09Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 60.3% | 23.4% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 9.8% | 22.1% | 24.2% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 10.9% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 25.5% | 30.8% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 7.3% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Michael Mignogna | 6.9% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Stella Brown | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 26.7% | 18.1% | 8.7% |
| Caleb Prugh | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 23.7% | 25.9% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 27.0% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.