← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State University-0.70+3.05vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University-0.08+0.88vs Predicted
-
3American University-1.01+1.77vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech-0.52-0.27vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-1.35+0.59vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-2.09+0.88vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-1.80-0.69vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-1.85-2.19vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University-1.16-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.05Penn State University-0.7013.4%1st Place
-
2.88Princeton University-0.0826.4%1st Place
-
4.77American University-1.0110.2%1st Place
-
3.73Virginia Tech-0.5217.0%1st Place
-
5.59University of Delaware-1.357.2%1st Place
-
6.88University of Delaware-2.094.2%1st Place
-
6.31Rutgers University-1.804.7%1st Place
-
5.81Catholic University of America-1.856.8%1st Place
-
4.98Drexel University-1.1610.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Simpkins | 13.4% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Advik Eswaran | 26.4% | 22.6% | 19.3% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Curtis | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Matt Averyt | 17.0% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Addie Perez | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 11.1% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 36.2% |
| Evan Kohut | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 21.4% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.5% |
| Patrick Hartshorne | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.