Race 6B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christopher Price 10.5% 7.7% 10.4% 10.5% 9.4% 10.1% 9.6% 9.5% 9.1% 6.5% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Michael Booker 12.4% 13.3% 11.3% 12.6% 11.4% 10.2% 8.3% 7.8% 6.1% 3.5% 1.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Connor Brady 10.3% 13.0% 12.1% 11.0% 9.8% 9.2% 10.4% 8.4% 6.8% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Dan Nickerson 15.2% 15.2% 12.7% 11.3% 11.8% 9.9% 7.0% 6.4% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Cole Rice 6.5% 6.4% 6.7% 8.0% 8.7% 8.0% 8.3% 9.7% 9.9% 12.3% 8.5% 5.3% 1.7%
James Rohman 8.8% 9.0% 8.7% 8.6% 8.5% 10.1% 11.2% 9.2% 8.6% 8.0% 6.2% 2.7% 0.4%
Isabel Elliman 2.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 4.7% 6.4% 10.5% 18.0% 23.2% 16.1%
Angus Page 3.5% 4.9% 4.7% 3.2% 4.8% 5.0% 7.8% 10.0% 11.4% 13.0% 15.2% 12.2% 4.3%
Abby Preston 7.2% 6.3% 7.1% 9.2% 7.1% 9.9% 9.2% 9.5% 10.8% 9.5% 8.2% 4.6% 1.4%
Johanna Kincaid 11.1% 9.6% 10.4% 11.0% 10.3% 8.9% 8.5% 8.9% 9.0% 6.2% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
William Gibbons 10.0% 10.3% 10.2% 9.3% 11.3% 9.6% 10.2% 9.0% 7.7% 6.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Luke Miller 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 1.6% 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 5.1% 5.2% 9.1% 15.6% 25.2% 23.5%
Charles Cahill 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 3.4% 6.9% 10.1% 19.1% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.