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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-1.34+1.69vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.50+1.01vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.91+0.53vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.00-0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-2.73-0.17vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.30-0.11vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-4.09+0.20vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-3.86-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-4.32-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Notre Dame-1.340.3%1st Place
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3.01Purdue University-1.500.2%1st Place
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3.53Ohio State University-1.910.2%1st Place
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3.61Michigan Technological University-2.000.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Michigan-2.730.1%1st Place
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5.89Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.2Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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6.79Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Notre Dame-4.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Opferman | 29.3% | 23.1% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 21.7% | 24.1% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Mignogna | 16.4% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 15.9% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Beute | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Stella Brown | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 22.4% | 14.7% | 7.9% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 29.9% | 27.3% |
| Caleb Prugh | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 22.9% | 20.8% |
| John Manning | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.