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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-1.91+2.55vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.50+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.34-0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-2.73+0.84vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-3.30+0.83vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.00-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-4.32+0.54vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-3.86-1.21vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-4.09-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Ohio State University-1.910.2%1st Place
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3.01Purdue University-1.500.2%1st Place
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2.67University of Notre Dame-1.340.3%1st Place
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4.84University of Michigan-2.730.1%1st Place
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5.83Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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3.65Michigan Technological University-2.000.2%1st Place
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7.54University of Notre Dame-4.320.0%1st Place
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6.79Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
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7.13Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Mignogna | 16.9% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Holmes | 22.0% | 23.6% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 28.7% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 7.2% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Stella Brown | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 8.8% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 15.1% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| John Manning | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 24.8% | 40.1% |
| Caleb Prugh | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 23.0% | 23.5% | 20.5% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 26.4% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.