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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+0.65vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.91+2.28vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-2.00+1.29vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.50-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.34-1.81vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-3.86+1.08vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-4.09+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-4.12-0.55vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-3.30-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65University of Michigan0.110.6%1st Place
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4.28Ohio State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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4.29Michigan Technological University-2.000.1%1st Place
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3.41Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
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7.08Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
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7.41Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
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6.24Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 57.8% | 26.4% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mignogna | 4.7% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 22.8% | 21.9% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 6.1% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 22.9% | 16.5% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Holmes | 12.1% | 18.9% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 14.7% | 26.0% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Prugh | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 13.3% | 22.6% | 25.4% | 22.8% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 27.7% | 31.4% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 24.1% | 35.4% |
| Stella Brown | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 23.1% | 22.8% | 17.7% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.