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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+0.63vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.91+2.31vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.50+0.55vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.34-0.83vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-3.86+2.01vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.00-1.77vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-3.30-0.69vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-4.09-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-4.12-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63University of Michigan0.110.6%1st Place
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4.31Ohio State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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3.55Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
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7.01Western Michigan University-3.860.0%1st Place
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4.23Michigan Technological University-2.000.1%1st Place
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6.31Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.35Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 58.5% | 26.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mignogna | 4.9% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Gavin Holmes | 10.5% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 15.0% | 22.6% | 23.6% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Prugh | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 24.8% | 23.9% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 6.5% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Stella Brown | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 21.7% | 25.5% | 18.6% | 8.5% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 26.3% | 31.7% |
| Andoni Christou | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 26.0% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.