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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+0.70vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-2.00+2.71vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.34+0.49vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.50-0.39vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.91-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-4.32+1.88vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.35-1.89vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-4.09-0.37vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-3.30-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7University of Michigan0.110.6%1st Place
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4.71Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.61Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.3Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Notre Dame-4.320.0%1st Place
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5.11Western Michigan University-2.350.0%1st Place
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7.63Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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6.57Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 56.3% | 25.6% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 4.1% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Opferman | 11.7% | 21.0% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 11.8% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Mignogna | 8.0% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| John Manning | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 27.3% | 47.4% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 23.2% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 14.1% | 30.6% | 37.8% |
| Stella Brown | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 29.1% | 24.1% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.