← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame-1.34+2.50vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.11-0.22vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-1.91+1.44vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University-2.00+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-3.30+1.51vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-1.50-2.33vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-2.35-1.86vs Predicted
-
8Saint Mary's College-4.09-0.39vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-4.32-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.5University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
-
1.78University of Michigan0.110.5%1st Place
-
4.44Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
-
4.46Michigan Technological University-2.000.1%1st Place
-
6.51Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
-
3.67Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
-
5.14Western Michigan University-2.350.0%1st Place
-
7.61Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of Notre Dame-4.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Opferman | 13.6% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 52.3% | 28.6% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mignogna | 6.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Stella Brown | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 23.8% | 22.9% | 13.6% |
| Gavin Holmes | 11.8% | 15.9% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 23.0% | 16.7% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 12.9% | 34.4% | 35.4% |
| John Manning | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 12.6% | 26.8% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.