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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-3.30+5.64vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.11-0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-4.12+4.73vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.35+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.34-1.58vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.91-1.62vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.50-3.22vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.00-3.44vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-4.09-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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1.79University of Michigan0.110.5%1st Place
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7.73University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
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5.03Western Michigan University-2.350.0%1st Place
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3.42University of Notre Dame-1.340.2%1st Place
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4.38Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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3.78Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.56Michigan Technological University-2.000.1%1st Place
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7.67Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stella Brown | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 25.4% | 25.0% | 13.6% |
| Ted Sherman | 52.0% | 27.9% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andoni Christou | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 14.7% | 26.3% | 43.3% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Opferman | 15.6% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Michael Mignogna | 6.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Gavin Holmes | 10.7% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 6.7% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 13.9% | 29.5% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.