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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+0.69vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.50+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.34+0.51vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-3.30+2.58vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.35+0.01vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.91-1.60vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.00-2.43vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-4.12-0.31vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-4.09-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69University of Michigan0.110.6%1st Place
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3.88Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
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6.58Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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5.01Western Michigan University-2.350.0%1st Place
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4.4Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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4.57Michigan Technological University-2.000.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Notre Dame-4.120.0%1st Place
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7.67Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 56.9% | 26.4% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 8.5% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Opferman | 12.2% | 20.1% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Stella Brown | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 26.5% | 22.1% | 14.1% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 4.8% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% |
| Michael Mignogna | 7.0% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 6.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 14.0% | 28.0% | 41.6% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 29.7% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.