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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-1.34+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.11-0.21vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.50+0.75vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.91+0.30vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.350.00vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.00-1.48vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-3.30-0.37vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-4.09-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-4.32-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
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1.79University of Michigan0.110.5%1st Place
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3.75Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.3Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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5.0Western Michigan University-2.350.0%1st Place
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4.52Michigan Technological University-2.000.1%1st Place
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6.63Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.61Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Notre Dame-4.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Opferman | 13.6% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 51.8% | 28.0% | 12.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 11.4% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mignogna | 8.1% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 4.4% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Stella Brown | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 28.5% | 25.4% | 11.2% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 33.2% | 36.3% |
| John Manning | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 12.1% | 25.4% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.