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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+0.70vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-2.00+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.34+0.52vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.91+0.27vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.350.00vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.50-2.31vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-4.09+0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-4.32-0.11vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-3.30-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7University of Michigan0.110.6%1st Place
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4.72Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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3.52University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
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4.27Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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5.0Western Michigan University-2.350.1%1st Place
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3.69Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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7.67Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Notre Dame-4.320.0%1st Place
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6.55Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 56.5% | 26.3% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 4.0% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 12.0% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Mignogna | 7.6% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 5.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Gavin Holmes | 11.0% | 16.7% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 15.4% | 32.5% | 36.7% |
| John Manning | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 12.0% | 25.3% | 48.8% |
| Stella Brown | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 26.4% | 25.3% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.