Race 7B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Booker 13.4% 14.7% 11.1% 10.7% 11.7% 9.8% 8.9% 6.1% 5.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.3%
Christopher Price 10.4% 11.3% 9.6% 9.3% 11.1% 8.6% 11.8% 8.8% 7.6% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Abby Preston 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 7.6% 7.3% 9.4% 8.6% 10.2% 8.7% 12.3% 7.9% 4.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Luke Miller 1.5% 1.0% 2.5% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 4.3% 5.3% 6.4% 7.7% 16.6% 22.2% 21.0% 4.6%
James Rohman 7.1% 9.1% 7.9% 9.0% 10.1% 8.8% 9.1% 10.2% 10.4% 8.0% 6.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Connor Brady 11.3% 11.1% 12.3% 10.3% 11.2% 9.6% 8.3% 9.9% 6.1% 4.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 16.3% 15.6% 14.0% 11.9% 10.3% 9.6% 7.4% 6.6% 4.9% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Angus Page 4.6% 3.7% 5.3% 4.3% 4.9% 6.9% 5.7% 6.8% 10.9% 13.8% 13.7% 12.9% 5.6% 0.9%
Johanna Kincaid 9.7% 9.0% 9.7% 11.4% 10.0% 11.2% 9.3% 9.0% 8.9% 5.4% 4.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
William Gibbons 9.1% 8.6% 9.5% 11.4% 9.5% 8.4% 10.3% 9.5% 9.8% 6.4% 4.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Marta Chlus 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 2.6% 4.9% 11.5% 76.3%
Cole Rice 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 10.2% 9.5% 9.8% 10.3% 9.2% 9.6% 6.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Isabel Elliman 2.7% 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 4.5% 5.1% 7.1% 10.6% 15.9% 21.7% 17.9% 2.9%
Charles Cahill 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 1.8% 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 8.5% 8.7% 15.9% 38.7% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.