← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1American University-0.66+3.07vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech-0.52+1.78vs Predicted
-
3Penn State University-0.70+1.15vs Predicted
-
4Rutgers University-1.80+2.33vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-0.08-1.99vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-1.35-0.42vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-1.85-1.14vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University-1.16-3.00vs Predicted
-
9University of Delaware-2.35-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07American University-0.6614.0%1st Place
-
3.78Virginia Tech-0.5216.2%1st Place
-
4.15Penn State University-0.7013.6%1st Place
-
6.33Rutgers University-1.804.9%1st Place
-
3.01Princeton University-0.0826.6%1st Place
-
5.58University of Delaware-1.356.7%1st Place
-
5.86Catholic University of America-1.855.9%1st Place
-
5.0Drexel University-1.169.4%1st Place
-
7.24University of Delaware-2.352.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 14.0% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Matt Averyt | 16.2% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 13.6% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Evan Kohut | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 21.6% |
| Advik Eswaran | 26.6% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Addie Perez | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 10.2% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 13.2% |
| Patrick Hartshorne | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Amira Kleiman | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.