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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-2.00+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.11-0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.34-0.17vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.50-0.95vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-3.30+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-4.32+0.14vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-4.09-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Michigan Technological University-2.000.1%1st Place
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1.5University of Michigan0.110.6%1st Place
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2.83University of Notre Dame-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.05Purdue University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.12Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Notre Dame-4.320.0%1st Place
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5.78Saint Mary's College-4.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Sorbie | 7.4% | 16.0% | 22.5% | 29.1% | 17.6% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Ted Sherman | 64.3% | 24.7% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 13.9% | 26.2% | 31.9% | 19.8% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 11.9% | 24.7% | 25.2% | 25.4% | 10.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Stella Brown | 1.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 36.8% | 26.6% | 13.5% |
| John Manning | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 12.5% | 28.7% | 50.3% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 35.5% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.