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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina-0.20+3.59vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.16vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54-0.95vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University0.10+0.08vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.73-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32+0.73vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.60-2.69vs Predicted
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9-2.63-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.16Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.05North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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4.08Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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4.52Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.49University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
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5.31University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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8.06-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathleen Hale | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.3% | 24.3% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 44.2% | 26.5% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.6% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 24.9% | 10.9% | 2.5% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 38.1% | 37.1% |
| May Proctor | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Jim Wang | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 27.2% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.