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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+2.00vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+2.76vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University0.10+1.12vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54-1.99vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.20-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.60-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.73-2.48vs Predicted
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9-2.63-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.76Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.12Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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2.01North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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4.52University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.26University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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7.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
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5.52University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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8.06-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 20.6% | 23.7% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.8% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Johnny Perkins | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 43.8% | 29.6% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 7.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| May Proctor | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 23.4% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 38.0% | 36.8% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 21.3% | 13.8% | 3.3% |
| Jim Wang | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 26.4% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.