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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.05vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.13vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.20+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.60+0.18vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.10-1.92vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-0.73-1.42vs Predicted
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8-2.63+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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3.13Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.67Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.51University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.18University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.08Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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5.58University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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8.06-2.630.0%1st Place
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7.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 43.9% | 27.9% | 15.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.2% | 23.4% | 21.5% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Kathleen Hale | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| May Proctor | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 2.5% |
| Johnny Perkins | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 22.8% | 12.8% | 3.2% |
| Jim Wang | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 26.4% | 54.6% |
| Caswell Kern | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 37.1% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.