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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina-0.73+4.51vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+2.76vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.20+1.64vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54-1.97vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University0.10-0.99vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79-3.03vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.60-1.72vs Predicted
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8-2.63+0.07vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.76Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.64University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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2.03North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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4.01Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
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2.97Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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5.28University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.07-2.630.0%1st Place
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7.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 22.9% | 13.8% | 2.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Usher | 44.2% | 28.1% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 10.8% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 21.2% | 22.0% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 20.9% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Jim Wang | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 26.6% | 54.7% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 36.0% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.