Race 5A

2024-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Johnny Perkins 11.1% 13.2% 16.3% 16.4% 15.4% 14.3% 10.1% 2.9% 0.3%
Jacob Usher 40.1% 28.4% 16.6% 8.6% 4.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 22.3% 21.3% 20.7% 16.1% 10.5% 6.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 8.0% 11.3% 12.3% 16.5% 17.9% 15.4% 13.9% 4.1% 0.6%
Kathleen Hale 7.7% 11.2% 14.7% 15.2% 16.2% 15.7% 12.2% 6.1% 1.0%
Andrew Ettlemyer 4.2% 6.0% 7.6% 10.8% 12.8% 19.8% 23.4% 13.3% 2.1%
May Proctor 4.7% 6.2% 8.8% 12.2% 16.3% 17.5% 21.5% 10.6% 2.2%
Jim Wang 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 4.2% 7.1% 25.8% 55.1%
Caswell Kern 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 4.3% 4.3% 9.7% 36.7% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.