← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.79+2.03vs Predicted
-
2Wake Forest University0.10+2.27vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina-0.20+1.64vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.54-1.98vs Predicted
-
5Duke University-0.18-0.52vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina-0.73-0.50vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.60-1.73vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32-0.25vs Predicted
-
9-2.63-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.03Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
-
4.27Wake Forest University0.100.1%1st Place
-
4.64University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
-
2.02North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
-
4.48Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
-
5.5University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
-
5.27University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
-
7.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.04-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 21.0% | 23.4% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Kathleen Hale | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Usher | 44.1% | 28.5% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.6% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 24.1% | 11.6% | 2.4% |
| May Proctor | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 21.0% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 35.5% | 39.4% |
| Jim Wang | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 28.2% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.