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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.13+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.00+0.04vs Predicted
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3Duke University-2.01+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+0.31vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-1.70-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-3.12+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.68-1.24vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-3.28-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17North Carolina State University-0.130.4%1st Place
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2.04University of North Carolina0.000.4%1st Place
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4.68Duke University-2.010.1%1st Place
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4.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.1%1st Place
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4.22Clemson University-1.700.1%1st Place
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6.32University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
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5.76University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.51Wake Forest University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddison Carew | 36.5% | 30.1% | 19.6% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 39.0% | 33.5% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Robertson | 5.2% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
| Nevin Williams | 6.8% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Jamie Robertson | 6.7% | 9.4% | 20.1% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 33.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 22.5% | 19.2% |
| Caroline Rice | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 26.1% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.