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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.00+1.01vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.13+0.20vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+1.29vs Predicted
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4Duke University-2.01+0.72vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-1.70-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-2.68-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-3.12-0.61vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-3.28-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of North Carolina0.000.4%1st Place
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2.2North Carolina State University-0.130.3%1st Place
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4.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.1%1st Place
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4.72Duke University-2.010.1%1st Place
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4.21Clemson University-1.700.1%1st Place
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5.67University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.39University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
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6.52Wake Forest University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 41.6% | 30.7% | 17.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 33.7% | 32.3% | 20.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 6.8% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| William Robertson | 5.0% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 4.6% |
| Jamie Robertson | 6.8% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 24.2% | 35.5% |
| Caroline Rice | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 24.8% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.