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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.00+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+2.30vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.13-0.82vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-1.70+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-2.68+0.72vs Predicted
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6Duke University-2.01-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-3.12-0.63vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-3.28-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of North Carolina0.000.4%1st Place
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4.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.1%1st Place
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2.18North Carolina State University-0.130.3%1st Place
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4.24Clemson University-1.700.1%1st Place
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5.72University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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4.68Duke University-2.010.1%1st Place
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6.37University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
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6.49Wake Forest University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 41.5% | 30.5% | 17.1% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 6.9% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 33.5% | 33.5% | 19.9% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Robertson | 6.8% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.8% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 22.8% | 17.2% |
| William Robertson | 5.6% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 25.3% | 34.6% |
| Caroline Rice | 0.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.