Race 8B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cole Rice 5.6% 6.9% 8.0% 8.1% 7.8% 7.3% 10.4% 9.1% 10.4% 10.6% 8.0% 5.1% 2.5% 0.2%
Michael Booker 14.5% 12.9% 12.2% 12.1% 10.1% 11.2% 9.2% 7.0% 5.1% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Brady 13.1% 11.7% 11.6% 9.2% 11.0% 9.0% 9.5% 9.6% 6.1% 5.2% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
William Gibbons 8.2% 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 9.1% 11.6% 10.5% 7.4% 8.1% 7.1% 6.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Christopher Price 8.1% 9.9% 10.5% 11.1% 9.7% 9.0% 10.0% 8.3% 8.5% 7.7% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
James Rohman 8.8% 7.3% 8.4% 8.6% 10.4% 9.1% 10.7% 8.9% 8.9% 8.4% 6.5% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Johanna Kincaid 10.8% 11.7% 11.4% 9.7% 10.9% 9.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.1% 5.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Dan Nickerson 15.3% 16.5% 11.9% 11.8% 10.2% 9.4% 6.5% 7.0% 5.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Angus Page 4.7% 2.7% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 6.0% 5.2% 8.7% 11.1% 14.0% 14.7% 12.2% 5.7% 1.0%
Abby Preston 6.6% 5.8% 7.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.6% 9.2% 11.2% 9.7% 10.9% 7.7% 4.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Isabel Elliman 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 3.4% 4.8% 5.3% 7.2% 9.9% 14.7% 21.3% 20.0% 3.9%
Charles Cahill 0.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 1.3% 2.1% 4.0% 4.6% 9.3% 18.5% 36.3% 16.6%
Marta Chlus 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 3.1% 5.0% 13.3% 73.5%
Luke Miller 1.7% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 2.8% 3.0% 3.5% 6.3% 6.3% 8.9% 15.0% 22.6% 19.6% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.