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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.66+3.01vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.70+2.14vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.08+0.06vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.16+0.97vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.52-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.35-0.37vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85-1.22vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.80-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.35-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01American University-0.6615.2%1st Place
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4.14Penn State University-0.7013.1%1st Place
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3.06Princeton University-0.0825.1%1st Place
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4.97Drexel University-1.1610.1%1st Place
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3.72Virginia Tech-0.5217.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Delaware-1.356.5%1st Place
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5.78Catholic University of America-1.856.5%1st Place
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6.38Rutgers University-1.804.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Delaware-2.352.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Cottage | 15.2% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
Joseph Simpkins | 13.1% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
Advik Eswaran | 25.1% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Patrick Hartshorne | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
Matt Averyt | 17.1% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
Addie Perez | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 11.2% |
John Anthony Caraig | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 13.2% |
Evan Kohut | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 20.6% |
Amira Kleiman | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 18.3% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.