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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.00+1.01vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-1.70+2.21vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.13-0.85vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-3.28+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.69vs Predicted
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6Duke University-2.01-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.68-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-3.12-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of North Carolina0.000.4%1st Place
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4.21Clemson University-1.700.1%1st Place
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2.15North Carolina State University-0.130.3%1st Place
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6.58Wake Forest University-3.280.0%1st Place
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4.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.1%1st Place
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4.69Duke University-2.010.1%1st Place
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5.76University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.29University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 41.4% | 31.2% | 17.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Robertson | 7.8% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Maddison Carew | 34.6% | 33.9% | 18.5% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Rice | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 23.7% | 40.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 5.7% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| William Robertson | 5.4% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 24.0% | 18.6% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 24.3% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.