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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.00+0.99vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.13+0.20vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+1.27vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-1.70+0.24vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University-3.28+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-2.68-0.33vs Predicted
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7Duke University-2.01-2.26vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-3.12-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of North Carolina0.000.4%1st Place
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2.2North Carolina State University-0.130.3%1st Place
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4.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.1%1st Place
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4.24Clemson University-1.700.1%1st Place
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6.59Wake Forest University-3.280.0%1st Place
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5.67University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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4.74Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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6.29University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 41.4% | 31.5% | 17.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 33.8% | 32.1% | 20.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 6.6% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Jamie Robertson | 7.0% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Rice | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 23.8% | 41.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| William Robertson | 4.9% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 5.7% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 26.3% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.