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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.00+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+2.30vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.13-0.82vs Predicted
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4Duke University-2.01+0.69vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University-3.28+1.60vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-1.70-1.81vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.68-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-3.12-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of North Carolina0.000.4%1st Place
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4.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.1%1st Place
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2.18North Carolina State University-0.130.3%1st Place
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4.69Duke University-2.010.1%1st Place
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6.6Wake Forest University-3.280.0%1st Place
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4.19Clemson University-1.700.1%1st Place
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5.77University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.28University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 41.6% | 30.7% | 17.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 7.1% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Maddison Carew | 33.7% | 33.5% | 19.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Robertson | 5.1% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Rice | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 41.4% |
| Jamie Robertson | 7.3% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 23.1% | 20.2% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 22.7% | 18.8% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 1.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 26.7% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.