Race 1A

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Zi Burns 3.3% 4.3% 4.3% 5.6% 6.4% 7.5% 10.6% 10.7% 16.1% 14.7% 11.8% 4.7%
Patrick Igoe 27.9% 22.9% 17.0% 12.3% 8.2% 6.5% 3.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 9.3% 7.8% 10.7% 10.2% 10.1% 13.2% 11.2% 11.4% 8.8% 5.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Josh Becher 12.8% 14.3% 14.7% 14.4% 12.5% 10.2% 8.8% 6.3% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Fiona Froelich 12.2% 14.9% 14.2% 13.4% 13.2% 11.1% 7.8% 6.3% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Dawson Kohl 10.9% 11.9% 11.9% 12.9% 11.9% 11.7% 10.8% 7.6% 6.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Marco Distel 2.2% 4.1% 3.4% 2.6% 5.9% 6.0% 7.9% 10.3% 12.1% 17.1% 18.3% 10.1%
Carter Morin 11.1% 8.7% 11.6% 13.0% 11.0% 10.1% 11.4% 10.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Julian Larsen 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.3% 8.4% 7.9% 9.8% 13.9% 13.9% 15.7% 10.3% 4.0%
Garrett Floerchinger 5.1% 5.0% 5.5% 7.6% 8.5% 9.9% 11.7% 13.2% 12.7% 10.8% 7.4% 2.6%
Kallista Halatsis 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 0.7% 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 4.6% 8.1% 12.2% 24.4% 36.5%
Josh Rosen 0.8% 1.5% 0.8% 2.0% 1.4% 3.1% 2.7% 3.6% 7.1% 12.9% 22.7% 41.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.