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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.37+4.57vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+2.34vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61-0.16vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.48+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.88-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida-0.52+1.71vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.47+0.41vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-3.20vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.88-0.56vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.76+0.15vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.19-3.95vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-1.63-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.34Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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2.84Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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5.25Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.41Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.8Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.15Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.05University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.06Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Kamps | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Fiona Froelich | 11.9% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 29.1% | 23.6% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 9.2% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Josh Becher | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
| Zi Burns | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 4.9% |
| Dawson Kohl | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Marco Distel | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 8.3% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 22.2% | 40.3% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 24.2% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.