Race 3A

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Fiona Froelich 13.4% 12.3% 13.7% 14.0% 13.2% 10.0% 11.1% 5.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Carter Morin 8.8% 11.0% 10.7% 10.9% 11.8% 13.0% 9.9% 10.7% 7.7% 4.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 9.0% 8.7% 10.7% 9.1% 10.9% 12.7% 11.3% 12.3% 7.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5%
Dawson Kohl 9.6% 12.7% 12.1% 13.9% 12.5% 10.2% 11.1% 8.8% 5.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Julian Larsen 2.9% 4.2% 4.4% 5.5% 6.3% 8.9% 8.3% 11.5% 15.5% 14.6% 12.2% 5.7%
Josh Becher 14.5% 12.4% 14.9% 13.6% 12.3% 11.8% 8.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Patrick Igoe 30.3% 23.1% 16.2% 11.8% 8.4% 4.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Marco Distel 2.0% 4.4% 3.0% 4.6% 4.1% 5.1% 7.2% 10.5% 11.9% 17.9% 18.9% 10.4%
Garrett Floerchinger 4.0% 4.4% 6.9% 9.3% 8.0% 9.5% 13.5% 12.6% 12.2% 11.2% 6.8% 1.6%
Josh Rosen 0.6% 1.0% 2.5% 1.7% 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 3.8% 8.5% 13.1% 20.0% 41.2%
Kallista Halatsis 1.3% 1.6% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 7.7% 12.9% 24.6% 36.5%
Zi Burns 3.6% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 7.8% 8.2% 9.6% 12.0% 15.3% 15.0% 11.8% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.