Race 4A

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Igoe 29.1% 21.9% 18.3% 13.5% 7.4% 4.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 7.1% 9.5% 11.5% 9.8% 12.2% 11.6% 11.8% 11.8% 8.5% 4.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Josh Becher 15.3% 12.2% 13.4% 13.9% 12.5% 11.8% 10.5% 6.6% 2.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Morin 7.1% 11.4% 10.9% 12.0% 12.6% 10.9% 12.8% 9.6% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Garrett Floerchinger 4.1% 5.4% 6.5% 6.9% 8.2% 11.5% 11.2% 13.2% 13.8% 11.4% 7.2% 0.6%
Dawson Kohl 12.2% 10.5% 11.4% 11.8% 13.1% 12.4% 11.1% 8.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Julian Larsen 4.0% 3.6% 4.4% 5.7% 8.4% 7.0% 9.3% 13.4% 15.2% 16.6% 9.7% 2.7%
Zi Burns 4.6% 4.2% 4.8% 5.9% 7.1% 8.1% 9.8% 12.6% 16.6% 16.4% 7.5% 2.4%
Fiona Froelich 13.0% 17.3% 14.5% 14.6% 10.2% 11.6% 9.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Rosen 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 5.1% 9.4% 14.0% 37.1% 20.3%
Marco Distel 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 4.7% 6.4% 7.8% 10.1% 14.0% 21.8% 19.2% 5.4%
Olivia Figley 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 2.5% 2.6% 5.7% 16.5% 68.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.