Race 5A

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Igoe 27.7% 23.7% 17.4% 12.2% 9.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 7.5% 9.3% 11.0% 10.7% 12.4% 11.0% 12.4% 12.3% 7.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Josh Becher 15.5% 13.0% 13.6% 13.1% 12.7% 12.0% 9.8% 6.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Carter Morin 7.9% 11.5% 10.1% 12.9% 13.4% 10.8% 11.7% 8.2% 8.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Fiona Froelich 12.9% 13.2% 14.8% 13.7% 11.7% 12.6% 8.2% 6.6% 3.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Julian Larsen 3.4% 3.2% 4.8% 6.7% 5.0% 8.1% 9.0% 14.1% 15.8% 18.7% 9.0% 2.2%
Garrett Floerchinger 5.2% 5.8% 6.1% 7.0% 9.0% 10.6% 11.1% 12.8% 14.3% 11.0% 5.6% 1.5%
Dawson Kohl 12.8% 12.2% 11.9% 12.9% 11.5% 11.0% 10.5% 9.0% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Zi Burns 3.0% 3.6% 5.0% 5.3% 8.2% 10.0% 10.8% 13.8% 15.1% 16.6% 7.9% 0.7%
Marco Distel 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 4.1% 4.5% 5.8% 8.3% 9.6% 16.5% 21.4% 16.8% 3.9%
Josh Rosen 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 3.0% 3.6% 4.3% 8.0% 12.9% 39.6% 22.6%
Olivia Figley 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 5.4% 16.7% 68.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.