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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Igoe 28.8% 22.8% 17.6% 12.5% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Carter Morin 7.6% 11.3% 11.9% 10.9% 12.6% 12.0% 11.3% 10.1% 7.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Fiona Froelich 14.6% 12.8% 13.3% 13.6% 12.3% 11.4% 10.9% 6.9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 7.0% 9.5% 9.8% 12.5% 11.7% 11.8% 11.1% 12.5% 7.6% 4.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Josh Becher 13.3% 15.0% 14.5% 14.5% 11.5% 10.5% 8.5% 5.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Dawson Kohl 11.9% 11.0% 11.0% 11.8% 13.4% 12.5% 10.7% 8.5% 5.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Garrett Floerchinger 5.4% 5.7% 6.4% 6.8% 9.6% 8.9% 11.8% 14.1% 13.2% 11.2% 5.4% 1.5%
Zi Burns 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 6.0% 6.2% 9.1% 10.5% 11.9% 15.4% 15.7% 10.1% 1.8%
Julian Larsen 3.4% 2.9% 4.3% 4.7% 8.2% 9.5% 11.1% 12.6% 15.8% 17.0% 9.1% 1.4%
Marco Distel 2.6% 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 3.9% 5.9% 7.6% 10.7% 16.0% 20.8% 16.9% 4.6%
Olivia Figley 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 2.1% 3.3% 5.0% 14.9% 70.4%
Josh Rosen 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 3.6% 4.1% 8.3% 14.6% 39.7% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.