← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.61+1.87vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College0.48+3.21vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.84+1.36vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.37+1.48vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami0.88-0.68vs Predicted
-
6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-1.13vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida-0.19-0.32vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-0.47-0.66vs Predicted
-
9University of Central Florida-0.52-1.53vs Predicted
-
10University of Florida-0.88-1.76vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University-2.79+0.23vs Predicted
-
12Embry-Riddle University-1.76-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.87Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
-
5.21Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
-
4.36Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
-
5.48Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
-
4.32University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
-
4.87Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
-
6.68University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
-
7.34Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
-
7.47University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
8.24University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
-
11.23Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
-
9.95Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 28.8% | 22.8% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 14.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Josh Becher | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Zi Burns | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 9.1% | 1.4% |
| Marco Distel | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 14.9% | 70.4% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 39.7% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.