Race 1B

florida

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grayson Tella 25.2% 23.3% 16.6% 13.9% 10.8% 6.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ella Lansford 7.0% 7.4% 9.2% 9.7% 12.8% 13.5% 14.7% 12.7% 9.4% 3.2% 0.4%
Lily Schwartz 10.1% 9.5% 11.6% 12.4% 13.6% 14.7% 11.3% 10.7% 4.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Zach O'connor 15.6% 17.3% 15.9% 15.3% 14.7% 9.5% 6.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Jackson McGeough 17.8% 15.6% 17.0% 14.6% 12.2% 9.8% 7.5% 3.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Julian Drake 2.5% 2.4% 4.5% 3.9% 5.4% 7.6% 9.9% 16.8% 19.8% 19.2% 8.0%
Oliver West 12.4% 14.1% 12.0% 15.1% 12.8% 11.7% 11.6% 5.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Tanner Cummings 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 8.0% 8.7% 12.8% 15.7% 13.2% 14.2% 8.7% 1.3%
Emma Launsby 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 3.8% 4.2% 5.6% 9.0% 14.0% 20.4% 23.1% 12.8%
Nikolas Pantelis 1.6% 1.8% 3.4% 2.6% 3.5% 5.9% 8.0% 14.7% 16.3% 27.2% 15.0%
Allen Gonzalez Barnes 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 2.3% 3.9% 4.1% 7.8% 15.9% 62.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.