Race 9B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Booker 16.7% 15.2% 13.0% 12.2% 13.3% 9.0% 7.5% 6.3% 3.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Price 11.4% 12.5% 12.0% 11.3% 10.9% 10.1% 10.1% 9.3% 5.5% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Connor Brady 14.2% 14.5% 13.4% 11.9% 11.1% 11.2% 7.9% 6.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
William Gibbons 12.3% 10.2% 12.5% 11.7% 11.3% 10.5% 9.1% 8.4% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Luke Miller 2.8% 2.3% 2.1% 3.4% 3.8% 3.8% 5.5% 6.4% 8.6% 13.6% 19.3% 18.9% 9.5%
Abby Preston 8.9% 9.2% 9.2% 9.4% 9.9% 11.4% 10.5% 10.0% 8.6% 5.9% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Cole Rice 8.8% 8.5% 9.7% 7.5% 7.4% 10.8% 11.0% 10.1% 11.2% 8.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Angus Page 3.8% 5.9% 5.0% 6.4% 6.0% 8.5% 8.3% 10.1% 13.7% 13.8% 10.9% 5.6% 2.0%
Isabel Elliman 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.2% 4.2% 5.9% 9.6% 14.7% 19.1% 17.3% 9.1%
Kelly McGlynn 11.9% 9.9% 12.1% 12.6% 9.4% 9.2% 10.2% 7.3% 8.4% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Barbara Murray 5.5% 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 8.4% 7.6% 11.2% 12.7% 10.5% 10.3% 6.7% 4.2% 1.4%
Charles Cahill 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 4.1% 4.3% 8.7% 13.5% 24.9% 33.3%
Whitney Washburn 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 6.4% 12.5% 23.2% 43.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.